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MX News Update 2024


Wells Fargo Championship Preview and Betting

This weekend the PGA Tour heads to the Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina for the Wells Fargo Championship. The tournament is one of eight ‘signature’ events on the PGA Tour calendar, meaning only the tour’s very best golfers will be competing this weekend.

Despite this, the number one golfer in the world (by some margin) will not participate due to personal circumstances. Scottie Scheffler’s wife is about to give birth to the couple’s first child, so the world number one has declined to take part. It remains to be seen whether the 27-year-old, who has won four of the last five tournaments he has played in, will compete in next week’s PGA Championship.

Enough about who isn’t playing and who is. The field this weekend in North Carolina is packed as the sport’s best players all try to fine-tune their matches ahead of the second major of the year next week in Valhalla. Who’s looking good and ready to hit the par-71 course at Quail Hollow?

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Tips

Rory McIlroy E/W (12 places) – 11/2

With Scottie Scheffler absent this week, Rory McIlroy comes into the tournament as the favorite to take home the trophy. We can understand why and believe an 11/2 E/W bet represents fantastic value given the positivity currently flowing through the Northern Irishman.

McIlroy enjoyed himself more than he has in a long time on a golf course as he teamed with Shane Lowry to win the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. McIlroy has always been a streaky player and the confidence he will have gained from that win should serve him well here, especially without the presence of the world number one.

Plus, McIlroy has proven himself more than once at Quail Hollow. His first victory on the PGA Tour came in this event in 2010, while he also won here in 2015 and 2021. The length of the course makes it advantageous to be able to strip the ball off the tee, something McIlroy is more of. then equipped to do it.

From 2010 to 2022, winners of this event have achieved 28.5% of their total shots off the tee. That’s a huge number and considering McIlroy leads the way in shots taken off the tee on the PGA Tour this season (among players in the field this week), you have to assume he’s a positive week and at least finish in the top 12 to cover the E/W.

Chris Kirk E/W (12 places) – 33/1

Continuing with the theme of players being able to laser a ball across the fairway from a distance, we come to Chris Kirk, one of the most accurate ball handlers on tour. Among players teeing off in North Carolina this week, Kirk ranks third in strokes gained off the tee this season and has had solid performances all year.

The 39-year-old already has one win to his name this season – at Sentry in January – and has been in contention on other occasions, including at the Sony Open in Hawaii and the RBC Heritage three weeks ago, when he finished at the top. ten in a stacked field.

This is Kirk’s first event since RBC Heritage so will come into it fresher than those who competed in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans and CJ Cup Byron Nelson. Since Quail Hollow is a long golf course, this freshness could serve him well this weekend, provided he makes it.

Tom Hoge E/W (12 places) – 40/1

Finally, Tom Hoge is someone worth considering in the E/W market. Without stating the obvious, landing your approach shots as close to the pin as possible will be important this week, but it’s a skill that most players find difficult at Quail Hollow.

The distance that most players struggle with on this course is the 50-125 yard range. Approaches from this distance in 2021, the last time the event was played at Quail Hollow, had an average distance to the hole of 21 feet, 10 inches.

This season, Hoge not only ranks second in shots gained on approach shots, but also has an average distance to the hole of 15 feet on approach shots from 50 to 125 yards.