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MX News Update 2024


Italian Open selections and best tennis bets for May 9

Best bets on the Italian Open for Thursday, May 9

It feels like the tennis season never slows down, but that’s great for bettors. This sport offers all kinds of bets, that’s why I’m going to offer you the best tennis bets as often as possible. And that continues with the final 1000-level event before the 2024 French Open. In the coming days, the biggest ATP and WTA tournaments are in Italy, as the world’s top players compete in Rome. The Internazionali BNL d’Italia is one of the most exciting tournaments of the year, so make sure you catch the action. Below are some of my best tennis bets for Thursday, May 9.

I also strongly encourage you to come back to this story throughout the day. I try to write down as many matches as possible in advance, but that is difficult in an international sport. I also like to do some Challenger level betting. That said, I’ll probably add choices at the bottom of the story. I’ll throw them on the Pro Picks page too.

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are deploying!

2024 record: 261-277 (+25.31 units)

Giulio Zeppieri vs. Matteo Gigante – Rome

I’m rolling with Giulio Zeppieri to win this all-Italian battle in the first round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia. Gigante has had a very solid season on the Challenger tour as he is 14-2 and has won two tournaments so far. But Gigante has never won a match at ATP level, so he will face a lot of nerves against Zeppieri. Of course, Zeppieri himself hasn’t had much success at ATP level, but he at least knows what it takes to win. And overall, I think Zeppieri has a slight edge here in terms of weapons. Zeppieri has proven himself a little more as a server and I think his aggressive playing style will make him a difficult opponent for Gigante. And Zeppieri has a booming forehand, so he should win the forehand-to-forehand exchanges between these two southpaws. Overall, the difference in experience should give Zeppieri what he needs to cross the finish line.

Inset: Zeppieri ML (-120)

(The match would take place on Wednesday, May 8)

Fabio Fognini vs Daniel Evans – Rome

As bad as things have been for Fabio Fognini in 2024, it’s hard not to have a go against the Italian here. The veteran is capable of reaching another level when he plays in front of his people, and last year’s run to the Round of 32 showed he will forever be dangerous in this venue. Fognini also happened to get a good draw in the opening round, as Daniel Evans is just 19-36 on clay in his career. Evans is also 0-6 on the field over the past 52 weeks. Evans’ slice backhand just doesn’t have as much impact on this surface, and his serve and forehand aren’t consistent enough to find success off grass/hard court. With that in mind, Evans will have to be perfect to find a way to beat Fognini, who is 236-176 in his career on clay. But Evans’ play in 2024 makes it hard to believe he’ll find another tackle. So Fognini should blow him off the field with his absurd power over the entire field.

Bet: Fognini ML (-141 – 2 units)

(The match would take place on Wednesday, May 8)

Tomas Machac vs. Matteo Arnaldi – Rome

Tomas Machac is 2-0 against Matteo Arnaldi in his career, but things should turn around in Rome. Arnaldi is a better clay player than Machac, as evidenced by a better record at ATP level and multiple titles at Challenger level. Machac has never won an event on the field. Moreover, Arnaldi plays for his own audience. That should give him the extra adrenaline he needs to beat Machac from the baseline, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see more unforced errors from the Czech in this wild atmosphere. It’s also worth noting that Arnaldi’s serve is a lot more reliable than Machac’s on clay. Overall, it seems like a lot for Machac to overcome. So I play the games with Arnaldi.

Bet: Arnaldi -2.5 games (-111 – 2 units)

Added plays

Roman Safiullin ML (+105 – 1.5 units) vs. Cortenin Moutet (Rome)

Alexandre Muller +4.5 games (-182) vs Marton Fucsovics (Rome)

Enzo Couacaud ML (-114 – 1.5 units) vs. Alex Molcan (Prague Challenger)

Jaime Faria ML (+102 – 1.5 units) vs. Rudolf Molleker (Prague Challenger)

Wednesday’s choices

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